Analytics
The Central Asian region represents a large and rapidly growing consumer market with significant growth prospects: an increasing customer base of 60 mln people with fast growing GDP and disposable incomes.
Within the region, Kazakhstan is the core market, driven by a fast growing population, nominal GDP of over US$130 bln and a forecasted 2010 – 2014F GDP per capita CAGR of 14% in nominal terms, which spur the rapid development of domestic consumer sector and serve as solid growth platform for local FMCG producers.
Nominal GDP per capita 2009 and GDP CAGR ‘10-14F |
Personal disposable income CAGR, (2010-2014F) |
Kazakhstan: key macroeconomic indicators
2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010F | 2011F | 2012F | 2013F | 2014F | |
Nominal GDP, US$ bln | 81 | 105 | 133 | 115 | 136 | 155 | 178 | 204 | 232 |
Nominal GDP per capita, US$ | 5,322 | 6,810 | 8,570 | 7,308 | 8,506 | 9,560 | 10,859 | 12,277 | 13,820 |
Real GDP growth, % | 10.7% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% |
Consumer spending*, US$ | 950 | 1.178 | 1.380 | 1.189 | 1.321 | 1.497 | 1.695 | 1.900 | 2.157 |
Inflation, % | 8.6% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
Population, mln | 15.2 | 15.4 | 15.6 | 15.8 | 16.0 | 16.2 | 16.4 | 16.6 | 16.8 |